Download E-books Forecasting Models for the German Office Market PDF

By Alexander Bönner

In each marketplace with unfastened floating costs, all marketplace members have an interest sooner or later advancements of those costs. in spite of the fact that, there's an glaring learn hole for forecasting types for the German place of work marketplace. Alexander Bönner closes this hole by way of concentrating on an empirical research of numerous lease and overall yield forecasting types for 9 significant German towns. The applicability and function of ARIMA, GARCH and multivariate regression types are analyzed and town in addition to forecasting horizon-specific styles are decided and interpreted. Uni-variate hire forecasting versions regularly outperform multivariate hire forecasting regression versions in a brief run. in the end, multivariate regression types dominate. besides the fact that, one needs to take into consideration that during a few towns one version completely outperforms the opposite. ultimately, the lease point is principally decided by way of its monetary basics, that is additionally verified for the entire yield exam.

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